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					Mechlord3130 Clan Nova Cat Point Commander
  
 
  Joined: 24-Jul-2002 00:00 Posts: 17
 
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								 Posted: 02-Aug-2002 17:46    Post subject: My die rolls SUCK! | 
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								   As a long time gamer, it has occured to me that I consistantly roll below average over the long haul.
 
    A friend of mine and I were speaking of this the other evening, and chuckling about my 20 year losing streak in RISK, and I brought that up.
 
     He said that more likely it was just my perception, because the laws of chance mathimatically prove what I was saying simply could't happen.
 
    "Well," I said, "If I consistantly roll below average, and there is someone else out there that consistantly rolls ABOVE average, wouldn't that be the same math as if I were doing all the rolls? If true, doesn't the math then balance out?"
 
     I think I stumped him on that. A little question to the forum... Any one else out there think they either roll statisically above or below average?
 
 _________________
 Mechlord
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 That which does not kill me will probably taste great well done, with a side of sharp chedder, and a fine red wine
  [ This Message was edited by: Mechlord3130 on 2002-08-02 17:51 ] _________________ Mechlord
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 That which does not kill me will probably taste great well done, with a side of sharp chedder, and a fine red wine
								
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					Ares Clan Jade Falcon Star Colonel
  
 
  Joined: 20-Feb-2002 00:00 Posts: 737
 
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								 Posted: 02-Aug-2002 18:12    Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! | 
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								Under the Law of Large Numbers, a non-rigged die roll will average out more and more for how many trials you do.  However, it's not like that in a game situation, you don't mathamatically and scientifically roll each die.  How you roll it, what side it was when you picked it up, and a whole bunch of intangibles can all effect it.  Statistically you may roll below average, but stats don't mean much when you throw down. _________________ I have the right to remain silent. Anything I say will undoubtedly incriminate me.
								
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					Sir Henry Team Bansai Senior Tech Specialist
  
 
  Joined: 04-Feb-2002 00:00 Posts: 4899 Location: United States
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								 Posted: 02-Aug-2002 18:41    Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! | 
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								Or he has rotten Dice...
  _________________ Sir Henry
  A Dragon in the disguise of a bunny, is still a Dragon.
								
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					Hardware Clan Ghost Bear Star Colonel
  
 
  Joined: 04-Feb-2002 00:00 Posts: 605 Location: United States
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								 Posted: 02-Aug-2002 19:35    Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! | 
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								I can tell you Horhiro has dice that consistently roll higher than average. In fact his brother and I have banned those dice from use when we game.
  _________________ The more I get to know people the more I like my dog.
 
 
								
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					Horhiro Draconis Combine Samurai
  
 
  Joined: 04-Feb-2002 00:00 Posts: 1625 Location: United States
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								 Posted: 02-Aug-2002 21:03    Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! | 
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								Ssshhhhhhh! It's only because they've seen what happends to my dice that don't roll high! Dice Intimidation: It works.
  _________________ "I have lived my life trying to be a virtuous man. The Dragon admires tenacity, and the code of the samurai upholds it as well." -Minobu Tetsuhara
								
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					Black_Phoenix Clan Nova Cat Star Colonel
  
 
  Joined: 23-Jun-2002 00:00 Posts: 382
 
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								 Posted: 04-Aug-2002 14:14    Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! | 
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								I would have to say that the subject of your post applies to me too. I cannot get a good die roll no matter how hard I try. The only good rolls I get are for damage, where I can normally hit the CT with a good number of shots. But even then it is usually with small weapons. I end up picking my opponents apart piece by piece. Which sucks for the salvage operations.  
  _________________ History is much like an endless waltz. The three beats of war, peace and revolution continue on forever.
 -Gundam Wing: Endless Waltz
								
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					Sir Henry Team Bansai Senior Tech Specialist
  
 
  Joined: 04-Feb-2002 00:00 Posts: 4899 Location: United States
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								 Posted: 05-Aug-2002 08:04    Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! | 
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								That's where a Gauss to the head is very helpful...  
 
  _________________ Sir Henry
  A Dragon in the disguise of a bunny, is still a Dragon.
								
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					Hardware Clan Ghost Bear Star Colonel
  
 
  Joined: 04-Feb-2002 00:00 Posts: 605 Location: United States
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								 Posted: 05-Aug-2002 11:52    Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! | 
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								Yeah, I recall the first time I ever saw a UAC20 in play. Horhiro was piloting the mech, first time he's in range he declares a double fire and rolls a deuce.
 
 (whirrrrrr...clunk! chang! Damn it!)
  _________________ The more I get to know people the more I like my dog.
 
 
								
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					Sir Henry Team Bansai Senior Tech Specialist
  
 
  Joined: 04-Feb-2002 00:00 Posts: 4899 Location: United States
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								 Posted: 05-Aug-2002 16:05    Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! | 
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								That's at a range of what, 9. I've had a Gauss to the head at 21. Now that sucks....
  _________________ Sir Henry
  A Dragon in the disguise of a bunny, is still a Dragon.
								
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					Horhiro Draconis Combine Samurai
  
 
  Joined: 04-Feb-2002 00:00 Posts: 1625 Location: United States
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								 Posted: 05-Aug-2002 18:42    Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! | 
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								Yes, that was really lame. What sucked was that no one fired on me after that! I couldn't even sponge up some damage for my star mates as they had no fear of me from that point on (couldn't even engage in physicals!)
 
 That's why I like the new RACs, cause you can unjam them.
  _________________ "I have lived my life trying to be a virtuous man. The Dragon admires tenacity, and the code of the samurai upholds it as well." -Minobu Tetsuhara
								
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					Hardware Clan Ghost Bear Star Colonel
  
 
  Joined: 04-Feb-2002 00:00 Posts: 605 Location: United States
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								 Posted: 05-Aug-2002 21:46    Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! | 
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								I know, I was in that star!
  _________________ The more I get to know people the more I like my dog.
 
 
								
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					Sarkkahn Draconis Combine Tai-i
  
 
  Joined: 12-Jul-2002 00:00 Posts: 394
 
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								 Posted: 06-Aug-2002 00:35    Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! | 
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								I too hate my dice I'm always under average but tiger on the other hand..... I think his dice are loaded or something. _________________ You want some?  Come and get it
								
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					Black_Phoenix Clan Nova Cat Star Colonel
  
 
  Joined: 23-Jun-2002 00:00 Posts: 382
 
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								 Posted: 06-Aug-2002 09:49    Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! | 
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								I have never had one of those, but I have hit it with a large laser before. That is fun.  
  _________________ History is much like an endless waltz. The three beats of war, peace and revolution continue on forever.
 -Gundam Wing: Endless Waltz
								
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					Gangrene Federated Suns Leftenant General
  
 
  Joined: 04-Feb-2002 00:00 Posts: 939 Location: United States
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								 Posted: 09-Aug-2002 13:16    Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! | 
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								Quote:
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 On 2002-08-02 17:46, Mechlord3130 wrote:
 He said that more likely it was just my perception, because the laws of chance mathematically prove what I was saying simply could't happen.
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 Rolling dice is not purely random, or else it would be as he said.  I believe (but have no proof) that many dice are not purely homogenous and have a tendency towards a side, and that people can get skilled at rolling a certain pair of dice.  It seems to work for me (see whoop'in Talen thread in the general forum).
 
 Quote:
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 "Well," I said, "If I consistantly roll below average, and there is someone else out there that consistantly rolls ABOVE average, wouldn't that be the same math as if I were doing all the rolls? If true, doesn't the math then balance out?"
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 No.  They are completely separate actions and not at all related.
  _________________ Gangrene
								
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